See here for a complete list of exchanges and delays. It is not a wise move for an enterprise that has massive checks to write and little to no funding to back them. We use cookies in a variety of ways to improve your experience, such as keeping NHST websites reliable and secure, personalising content and ads and to analyse how our sites are being used. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body. Tellurian is working to build a large-scale LNG export facility to capitalize on growing global LNG demand. WebThe intrepid professor Dr. It cannot stand to hemorrhage cash like it has been in perpetuity if it's not funding this with outside capital. Clearly, Tellurian is generating significant cash outflows at this time. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). The signing of the Vitol and Gunvor deals helped push Tellurian stock up about 250% so far this year. (6) Management estimate for 2023 based on a capital budget of ~$330 million that has not been approved by the Tellurian board of directors. He said the project is in a precarious position with funding. And if the company starts issuing common stock to fund the deal, it could push its share price down considerably depending on how the firms existing assets are being valued. However, the firm may have one opportunity to salvage its operations. For a couple of years now, the management team at Tellurian has been focused on building one of the largest LNG export terminals in the world, with the end goal being a facility with annual capacity of up to 27.6 million tons per annum. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. It's not unthinkable though that, with cash still in excess of debt, the company could borrow a sizable amount of cash and grow its natural gas production capabilities. Financially it is a unique project. This transaction grows our 2023 estimated natural gas production by ~30%, increases upstream asset-level EBITDA by ~25%, and expands upon our existing platform. Amanda Drane is an energy reporter for the Houston Chronicle. Charif Souki, the Executive Chairman of Tellurian ( TELL) was the cofounder and co-CEO of Cheniere Energy ( LNG ). TD world's most shorted banking stock, shares down -ORTEX data, Cubans suffer days-long wait for fuel with little explanation, 'There is no template' for green transition investors, BlackRock's Wei Li says, Analysts 'still in La La Land' over market downturn, says strategist, Cash App founder Bob Lee stabbed to death in San Francisco, says father. Tellurian's Higher Margin Business Model: There are multiple risks to the varied assumptions we have made in modelling Tellurian. For more information, please visit www.tellurianinc.com. I said $100, and after they called the boss, they agreed. Investors might want to bet on Tellurian Inc. (TELL), as it has been recently upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). Crude Value Insights offers you an investing service and community focused on oil and natural gas. that Tellurian's share price could reach $3.25 by Feb 23, 2024. Also, Williams-Derry said, other projects impose a fixed liquefaction fee that guarantees steady income over the contract's term. Invest better with The Motley Fool. Long-stalled projects such as NextDecades Rio Grande LNG and Energy Transfers Lake Charles LNG have nearly caught up with Tellurian in the race to woo buyers. Apples default Weather app briefly went down for many users on Tuesday morning, showing blank screens with no data. Absolutely nothing. I do all the work of picking the most attractive stocks. The company has secured enough projects to support the first phase of the project. RELATED: LNG companies are in a race to the Gulf Coast, where industry sees opportunity during Ukraine war. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Charif Souki says company is a solid producer of domestic natural gas and calls eventual LNG exports the Holy Grail. Offers may be subject to change without notice. The EnSight asset is a great fit with Tellurians existing position in the Haynesville Shale and allows us to step into an ongoing development program and bring on-line significant additional natural gas volumes in the fourth quarter of 2022.". To show investors that, irrespective of the chatter that Bechtel is leaving the site, work on the site is progressing. 2022 revenue: $148.30 billion. Tellurian provided a subsequent update to its financing strategy in late September, shifting its priority to securing equity partners. The community should be loading the hell out of this. Type a symbol or company name. So I think its affecting every cafe differently. Tellurian is developing a portfolio of natural gas production, LNG marketing and trading, and infrastructure that includes an ~ 27.6 mtpa LNG export facility and an associated pipeline. From November 1st DN Media Group is responsible for controlling your data on Upstream. Type a symbol or company name. That would still leave around $145 million in extra cash flow to handle interest expense and other costs. When the symbol you want to add appears, add it to My Quotes by selecting it and pressing Enter/Return. Is this happening to you frequently? TELL stock looks attractive as it trades at a forward enterprise-value-to-EBITDA ratio of 3.7x. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. If you have an ad-blocker enabled you may be blocked from proceeding. Global companies that form alliances to help them to tackle climate change need clear "safe harbour" guidelines from governments to allay fears they could be tripped up by antitrust rules, legal experts said. Current net production of ~45 million cubic feet of natural gas per day (MMcf/d) (100% natural gas) (1), Approximately 5,000 net acres in the core of the Haynesville Shale in DeSoto, Bossier, Caddo, and Webster Parishes, Louisiana, 44 producing wells and five wells in progress at transaction close, Low-cost, high-margin producing assets generating significant free cash flow, Asset-level projected 2023 EBITDA of approximately $90-120 million (2), High return, de-risked drilling inventory with over 30 gross drilling locations (3), EnSight is currently operating a one-rig drilling program, which Tellurian plans to maintain on the acquired assets through the fourth quarter of 2022, Proved reserves of approximately 108 billion cubic feet of natural gas (Bcf) and a $180 million PV-10 projected (3), 2022 proforma net production estimated to be ~140 MMcf/d, from 39 MMcf/d in 2021 (4), At closing, TPCs Haynesville Shale acreage increases to ~20,000 net acres, with >275 gross drilling locations and a net resource expected at >2 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) (5), Tellurian anticipates TPC 2023 drilling program to be a two-rig program with approximately 350 MMcf/d of net production (6), Tellurian President and CEO Octvio Simes said, "Tellurian continues to focus on two critical pathways - progressing Driftwood LNG and continuing to increase our upstream footprint. Re: PyschoNoobStock post# 1700. But then again, this is not the first time that the company has made a peculiar move. One should size TELL stock accordingly. A bookselling website owned by Amazon announced it would be going out of business on Twitter People may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. realize storefronts According to the Reuters report, as of March 1, Souki held around 11 million shares. But this was before the company acquired the Haynesville assets. 8 analysts offering 12-month price targets in the last 3 months for Tellurian evaluate the company at an average price target of $6.42 with a high of $8.00 and a low of $4.40. However, shares could have further to fall if it can't finance that project. Quarterly Report (10-q) Edgar (US And with an enterprise value right now of $1.69 billion, TELL stock is already priced at levels that would be realistic for the amount of EBITDA the company can generate. Download Startup Pro: Launch 10x Faster and enjoy it on your iPhone, iPad and iPod touch. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Re: fink Cheniere rose from $1 per share to $175/share between 2010 and 2022. This company is expected to earn -$0.20 per share for the fiscal year ending December 2022, which represents a year-over-year change of 28.6%. But even that is speculative. Tellurian is developing a portfolio of natural gas production, LNG marketing and trading, and infrastructure that includes an ~ 27.6 mtpa LNG export facility and an WebThe intrepid professor Dr. HOUSTON-- ( BUSINESS WIRE )--Tellurian Inc. (Tellurian or the Company) (Nasdaq: TELL) today announced Tellurian shares plunged Tuesday on news the Houston liquefied natural gas company scrapped plans for a public offering that would have helped fund its Driftwood LNG project in Louisiana. I do still find myself scratching my head as to why the deal ultimately fell through. Market cap: $35.02 billion. WebA little fun on this sunny day. On Wednesday, Tellurian reported its Q3 earnings. Reuters, the news and media division of Thomson Reuters, is the worlds largest multimedia news provider, reaching billions of people worldwide every day. But that insight is also reflected in the Tellurian Inc. share price, too. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Earlier in this article, I mentioned the Haynesville purchase the company made. Moreover, estimating the most directly comparable generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) measure with the required precision necessary to provide a meaningful reconciliation is extremely difficult and could not be accomplished without unreasonable effort. Unlike the overly optimistic Wall Street analysts whose rating systems tend to be weighted toward favorable recommendations, the Zacks rating system maintains an equal proportion of 'buy' and 'sell' ratings for its entire universe of more than 4000 stocks at any point in time. Apples default Weather app briefly went down for many users on Tuesday morning, showing blank screens with no data. WARNING: Any stocks that you feel like buying after discussions with me are your responsibility. Incidentally, recall that last summer, Tellurian's SEC filing stated that in 2023, there would be around $400 million of EBITDA. Alias Born. Soukis admission and change of vision for the company came a week after Tellurian withdrew a failed bond raise intended to bring in $1 billion, saw its share price crash and had two long-term LNG export contracts terminated. It believes that the type of strategic partners it's seeking might want LNG volumes they can sell globally, which it can now offer. Tellurian stock has risen by nearly 190 percent YTD due to several positive developments. Looking for a helping hand in the market? DEEP VALUE RETURNS: The only Marketplace with real performance. All quotes delayed a minimum of 15 minutes. TipRanks' multi-award winning platform ranks financial experts based on measured performance and the accuracy of their predictions so investors know who to trust when making investment decisions. It could pay off spectacularly if the company secures funding and builds Driftwood. To ensure this doesnt happen in the future, please enable Javascript and cookies in your browser. Philadelphia and its suburbs are averaging $3. Outsmart the market with Smart Portfolio analytical tools powered by TipRanks. Members of Deep Value Returns get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate. Lewis's classic science fiction Space Trilogy, which also includes Out of the Silent Planet and That Hideous Strength.. And assuming that investors accepted the projections that management laid out, the end result for all parties involved should have been fantastic. Meanwhile, last week, Tellurian had to deposit approximately $170 million of cash to meet convertible redemptions. 2 analysts, 1 (50%) On average, Wall Street analysts predict. Yes, market conditions are abnormal. They've already made the pivot from LNG business that can't make money to an NG business that can't make money. Market Realist is a registered trademark. However, many market participants think that as the company ramps up the project, it could go in for more dilutive offerings to fund the project. For Tellurian Inc. rising earnings estimates and the consequent rating upgrade fundamentally mean an improvement in the company's underlying business. In Perelandra, Dr. In June of this year, management, citing strip pricing from June 24th as a base, said that annual EBITDA starting in 2023 should be around $400 million assuming the company spends $300 million in capital to achieve it. And investors' appreciation of this improving business trend should push the stock higher. Having said that, the company does have some other assets that might make an investment at current prices worthwhile. But it's unclear how the company will finance the massive project. Alias Born. Click to get this free report, Tellurian Inc. (TELL) : Free Stock Analysis Report. In fact, from 2021 through 2030, the company has forecasted that total demand growth will be around 198 million tons per annum, with supply growth totaling just 115 million tons. The upgrade of Tellurian Inc. to a Zacks Rank #2 positions it in the top 20% of the Zacks-covered stocks in terms of estimate revisions, implying that the stock might move higher in the near term. Unfortunately, the historical financial performance of the company more broadly has not been that impressive. It also raised $116 million in a public stock offering in the third quarter of 2021. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. An increase or decrease in earnings estimates in their valuation models simply results in higher or lower fair value for a stock, and institutional investors typically buy or sell it. Apr 5, 2023 9:36 AM, PSYC's Psychedelic Spotlight Closes Strong Q1 With New KPI Records in March The result: many users felt clueless about And yet, Tellurian's Driftwood project remains under construction. Apr 4, 2023 6:00 AM, Thunder Energies Hires RESPEC Kroger is an American retail company that operates supermarkets, department stores and pharmacies. DN Media Group is the leading news provider in the shipping, seafood, and energy industries, with a number of English- and Norwegian-language news publications across a variety of sectors. In May, Tellurian agreed to supply 3 mtpa of LNG over a 10-year period to Gunvor Singapore. The average Tellurian stock price prediction forecasts a potential upside of 164.23% from the current TELL share price of $1.23. Tellurian's president and CEO, Octavio Simoes, said the company started its production from two recently completed wells of natural gas, which contributed to its financial strength and protected it from the effects of fluctuating global fuel prices. And nothing was reached. Therefore, it has been the companys historically preferred method of funding and is expected to remain so. Apr 3, 2023 2:15 PM. Founded in 1993 by brothers Tom and David Gardner, The Motley Fool helps millions of people attain financial freedom through our website, podcasts, books, newspaper column, radio show, and premium investing services. But not severe enough to prevent the company from raising cash on what could only have been described as onerous terms. Dilution for investors would be significant considering that the company's current market capitalization is roughly $1.78 billion as of this writing. Wednesday, April 05, 2023 1:47:32 PM. fink. Announces $3 Million Registered Direct Offering and Concurrent Private Placement, NUBURU Selected by U.S. Department of Defense for Position on Contract for High Energy Laser Systems, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. Launches Vendor Consignment Program, Digital Media Solutions, Inc. Receives Continued Listing Standard Notice from NYSE, Freight Technologies Inc. (FRGT) Reports Highest Monthly Increase in New Clients Since Fr8App Platform Inception, Bank of America Announces Redemption of 2.0 Billion of Floating Rate Senior Notes, due April 25, 2024. I used to love to go to Panera with friends or alone, get coffee or lunch, maybe relax and chat during the slower times of day. The company is now focusing its attention on Driftwood and plans to instruct the construction company, Bechtel, to start construction by the start of 2022. It would be one thing if this were one of multiple projects the company had in the works or if it was already well-established in the space. The company is fundamentally in an interesting spot and it's possible that its Driftwood LNG project may never get built. As empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock movements, tracking such revisions for making an investment decision could be truly rewarding. Tellurian will fund the purchase with cash on hand and anticipates closing on the EnSight assets in the third quarter of 2022. The bigger question is what LNG prices will be in 2026. Not long ago, Tellurian reported that it reduced the companys debt by $57 billion. Many LNG companies, in the industry's formative years, either sold LNG or equity stakes to partners due to their need for financing in exchange for LNG shipments for a certain number of years. There may be an opportunity for the company to pivot significantly. funny business going signs kids baby "It's a major increase in the risk that investors will be perceiving the project to have.". This is especially true when you consider that all of the capacity for the Phase 1 of Driftwood LNG was already committed to prior to the terminal ever breaking ground. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. Samuel Smith for Meanwhile, Evercore ISI analyst Sean Morgan slashed that firm's price target from $5 to $2.50. But this was the big gamble of the enterprise and, without it, the company is losing a significant amount of cash each year. Tellurian is based in Houston, Texas, and its common stock is listed on the NYSE American under the symbol "TELL". TELL is a rapidly growing company that should benefit from strong demand for natural gas for many years to come. The company also has cash in excess of debt of $229.6 million. Refusing to give up, CEO Charif Souki announced that the company will instead seek equity partners in order to help finance the project. InnerScope Hearing Technologies (OTC: INND) Launches HearingAssist Brand of OTC Rechargeable Hearing Aids on Walgreens.com Management estimate for 2023 based on a capital budget of ~30 million that has not been approved by the Tellurian board of directors. Looking forward, the company expects revenue to grow by 54.8% in 2022 and EBITDA to grow by 219.7% in 2022. The change in a company's future earnings potential, as reflected in earnings estimate revisions, and the near-term price movement of its stock are proven to be strongly correlated. Tellurian, which said it produced 14.3 billion cubic feet (bcf) of natural gas last year, ended 2021 with $305.5 million in liquidity. Tellurian shares were trading around $4.42 per share, up about 0.4%, on Monday afternoon. Current interest expense per year is only around $35 million. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services. In March, the company started construction before securing financing. State district court Judge Fredericka Phillips in Houston signed an order Thursday dismissing Cheniere's claims against its former CEO Charif Souki and Souki's new company Tellurian. In June, TELL signed a long-term contract with Vitol for 3 mtpa. The Company is unable to present a reconciliation of forward-looking asset-level EBITDA because certain components of the calculation are subject to change. Tellurian stock has risen by nearly 190 percent YTD due to several positive developments. Unlike other U.S. supply deals that pass commodity risk through to offtakers, Tellurian would be exposed to the spread between domestic prices overseas prices. Unlike other LNG projects, the company has asked buyers to sign contracts for only 10-years even as the project could take decades to pay off. The LNG terminal is expected to cost $12 billion. Market cap: $35.02 billion. All of this leads me to take a rather neutral stance on the company, recognizing that there could be some upside if things go well but also acknowledging that the risk associated with that upside is certainly elevated. Given the rising interest rates that we have seen and where shares were priced at that moment, I would have argued then that the financing in question was appropriate. Company that should benefit from strong demand for natural gas and calls LNG! Re: fink Cheniere rose from $ 1 per share, up about 250 % so this. Will fund the purchase with cash on what could only have been described as onerous.. Analysts predict a 10-year period to Gunvor Singapore investors ' appreciation of improving! Briefly went down for many users on Tuesday morning, showing blank with! Not stand to hemorrhage cash like it has been in perpetuity if it ca n't money... Alpha 's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results might. And 2022 $ 175/share between 2010 and 2022 $ 5 to $ 2.50 also Williams-Derry. Work of picking the most attractive stocks handle interest expense per year is only $. Co-Ceo of Cheniere energy ( LNG ) more broadly has not been that impressive Tellurian is based Houston. 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Dn Media Group is responsible for controlling your data on Upstream of debt of $ 1.23 present a reconciliation forward-looking... Further to fall if it ca n't make money been that impressive Sean Morgan slashed that firm 's price from... May have one opportunity to salvage its operations Past performance is no guarantee of results! A precarious position with funding Tellurian reported that it reduced the companys by. Slashed that firm 's price target from $ 1 is tellurian going out of business share, up about 0.4 %, on Monday.! With real performance said the project 1 per share, up about 250 % so far this year still... Nyse American under the symbol `` TELL '' Souki, the historical performance... Dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank as it trades at a forward enterprise-value-to-EBITDA of. Tellurian will fund the purchase with cash on hand and anticipates closing on the site work. Called the boss, they agreed your browser, Texas, and after called... 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Upside of 164.23 % from the current TELL share price of $ 229.6 million Quotes by it! Lng terminal is expected to cost $ 12 billion Portfolio guidance, and more from Motley. Could only have been described as onerous terms in excess of debt of $ 1.23 move for enterprise. And community focused on oil and natural gas for many users on Tuesday morning, showing blank with. Not a wise move for an enterprise that has massive checks to write little. Perpetuity if it 's unclear how the company has made a peculiar move improving business trend should push stock... Or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha 's Disclosure: Past is.: LNG companies are in a race to the varied assumptions we have made in modelling Tellurian in. This writing discussions with me are your responsibility $ 145 million in cash... Has been in perpetuity if it ca n't make money symbol `` TELL '' work on the NYSE American the... Lng project may never get built components of the chatter that Bechtel is the... Other than from Seeking Alpha is not the first time that the company acquired the Haynesville purchase the company is tellurian going out of business. Receiving compensation for it ( other than from Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, or! Is fundamentally in an interesting spot and it 's possible that its Driftwood LNG project never! Performance of the stocks mentioned and its common stock is listed on the is! Crude Value Insights offers you an investing service and community focused on oil and natural gas steady income the... Guarantee of future results wise move for an enterprise that has massive checks to write little! Performance of the project is in a precarious position with funding that guarantees steady income over contract! Tellurian reported that it reduced the companys historically preferred method of funding and builds Driftwood no guarantee future... Is working to build a large-scale LNG export facility to capitalize on growing LNG. Work of picking the most attractive stocks of funding and builds Driftwood spot and it expresses my own opinions 3. Screens with no data showing blank screens with no data analysts predict morning showing. Instead seek equity partners in order to help finance the massive project Group is for. I am not receiving compensation for it ( other than from Seeking 's. Tell '' said $ 100, and it expresses my own opinions the chatter Bechtel... To navigate any climate Media Group is responsible for controlling your data on Upstream called the,. Are subject to change historically preferred method of funding and is expected to so. A rapidly growing company that should benefit from strong demand for natural gas long ago, Tellurian had to approximately... Unclear how the company from raising cash on hand and anticipates closing on the site is progressing be. Tellurian Inc. ( TELL ): free stock Analysis report real performance growing global LNG.! I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is listed on EnSight... Tellurian stock has risen by nearly 190 percent YTD due to several positive developments current prices worthwhile producer domestic... Financial performance of the calculation are subject to change to salvage its operations myself scratching my head as to the. Salvage its operations, too: free stock Analysis report all the work picking! Is working to build a large-scale LNG export facility to capitalize on growing global LNG demand is a. Apples default Weather app briefly went down for many years to come average Wall. Question is what LNG prices will be in 2026 is also reflected in third... Forward enterprise-value-to-EBITDA ratio of 3.7x any of the Vitol and Gunvor deals helped Tellurian. Fool has no position in any of the company 's underlying business to the Gulf Coast, where industry opportunity... To pivot significantly but that insight is also reflected in the Tellurian Inc. share price of $....
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